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Trends in Voting Patterns in South Africa 2003-2013

18 August 2016
14:30 - 16:00


Prof. Barbara A. Anderson
University of Michigan and Human Sciences Research Council

Dr Mosidi Nhlapo
Statistics South Africa

Ms Marie Wentzel
Human Sciences Research Council


Prof Roger Southall
Emeritus Professor in Sociology University of the Witwatersrand


Prof Khangelani Zuma
Executive Director: RMDC, HSRC

Date:      18 August 2016    
Time:     14:30 – 16:00
Venue:    VCRs, Pretoria, Cape Town, Durban

Presentations available for download below:

This talk analyses voting preferences of South Africans based on data from the South African Social Attitudes Surveys (SASAS) 2003-2013. It focuses on differences by age, race and education in whether they would vote and what party they would vote for if the election were held tomorrow. In 2004, Africans were more likely to vote than non-Africans. In 2013, race did not matter for intention to vote. The ANC has the support of almost all Africans; non-Africans increasingly support the DA. However, race-related party choice has lessened among young persons. Also, by 2012, tertiary-educated Africans, both young and older, were less likely to support the ANC than less educated Africans, and older tertiary-educated Africans were more likely than less educated older Africans to support the DA.

The HSRC seminar series is funded by the Department of Science and Technology (DST). The views and opinions expressed therein as well as findings and statements of the seminar series do not necessarily represent the views of DST.

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